Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.171374 0.198643 0.228856 0.264818 0.306468 0.353203 0.409653
2025-07-06 0.127609 0.163778 0.208080 0.266360 0.341082 0.433777 0.557695
2025-07-13 0.108634 0.149586 0.203342 0.279128 0.383379 0.522008 0.720852
2025-07-20 0.094691 0.138082 0.198347 0.288249 0.419233 0.603583 0.883685
2025-07-27 0.084113 0.128898 0.194213 0.296537 0.453235 0.684902 1.054949
2025-08-03 0.074400 0.119180 0.187400 0.299059 0.477841 0.754056 1.215471
2025-08-10 0.065252 0.108834 0.177920 0.295601 0.491841 0.807454 1.356698
2025-08-17 0.056543 0.097891 0.165883 0.286057 0.494123 0.841419 1.469118
2025-08-24 0.052184 0.093564 0.163996 0.292873 0.524030 0.923583 1.671924
2025-08-31 0.047523 0.088060 0.159330 0.294066 0.543903 0.990184 1.854586
2025-09-07 0.043921 0.083967 0.156573 0.298154 0.569102 1.068447 2.066987
2025-09-14 0.039426 0.077641 0.148979 0.292239 0.574745 1.111071 2.216592
2025-09-21 0.035820 0.072662 0.143470 0.289915 0.587494 1.169461 2.406059
2025-09-28 0.033086 0.069082 0.140262 0.291764 0.608766 1.246951 2.643848
2025-10-05 0.031911 0.068518 0.142924 0.305754 0.656252 1.381950 3.016720
2025-10-12 0.030425 0.067108 0.143666 0.315751 0.696419 1.506174 3.381544
2025-10-19 0.028975 0.065592 0.143992 0.324835 0.735571 1.632424 3.765949
2025-10-26 0.027124 0.062959 0.141603 0.327598 0.760941 1.731353 4.100471
2025-11-02 0.024947 0.059326 0.136596 0.323809 0.770873 1.796763 4.364932
2025-11-09 0.022516 0.054815 0.129103 0.313348 0.763949 1.822693 4.538278
2025-11-16 0.021523 0.053621 0.129145 0.320819 0.800742 1.954974 4.987269
2025-11-23 0.020218 0.051511 0.126780 0.322127 0.822538 2.053589 5.363849
2025-11-30 0.019208 0.050020 0.125742 0.326607 0.852756 2.176059 5.816273